From Marib in the east to the western coast, passing through the south, the pro- Saudi- UAE forces involved in the Saudi-Emirati alliance are busy in arranging their cards militarily and politically. The moment of sharing the legacy of “legitimacy” has about to come. But the greatest danger is gasping behind the gains toward a new round of conflict may not stop at the borders of a particular region.
In Marib, despite the approach of Sana’a forces to liberate the last “Hadi’s” areas, the conflict is still raging between the two traditional rivals, UAE pavilion in GPC party led by Sagheer Bin Aziz and Islah party backed by Turkey, this struggle is not the result of the moment, but extends to previous years, when coalition put bin Aziz, as a dagger in the heart of Islah party and its most important strongholds.
Bin Aziz has succeeded so far in reducing the influence areas of Islah from Nihm and Al-Jawf to Marib, where he continues to eradicate Islah party from Hadi’s military foundation.
Actually, Islah party ended in the northern regions with the soon fall of Marib, and despite the boldness of loss caused by Bin Aziz, Islah party was able to retaliate in Al-Baidha by eliminating any focus for Bin Aziz. Bin Aziz may not aspire to have gains in light of Sanaa’s forces advancing more than his attempts to revenge and dismantle Islah party’s network to service an Emirati agenda that may reflect positively on his party in the south and west .. This is evident in the south, where Tariq Saleh is fighting in the ranks of the transitional in Abyan province, amid news talking that transitional council proposed to appoint Tariq Saleh the leader of GPC party factions, as defense minister in the new government.
Unlike GPC, which is clinging on to transitional straws and UAE are trying to breathe new life into it, Islah party is still able to maneuver.. Militarily, Islah party is moving in Shabwah, parallel to the movements in Taiz and the target, as an Emirati expert Khalfan Al-Kaabi says, liberating the southern provinces and the western coast, what means two blows with one stone.
Al-Kaabi is based on camps set up by Islah party in Shabwah and the southwestern of countryside, and all those who have received training supervised by Turkish experts and among the most ideological elements that eager to revenge from UAE, even if this is a service for a Turkish-Qatari agenda, and the latter has allocated, as media reports say, two billion dollars as a budget to bring UAE down, where Al-Jazeera says UAE has recently aborted an agreement sponsored by US President to lift the siege on Qatar.
Islah strategy, like its old ally, GPC party may have international dimensions represented by proxy struggle, and this is to some extent confirmed by recent moves, but even so the eyes of these have not departed from power and all indications confirmed that the two parties want to break the other’s external arms in order to be the dominant internally.
far away from Islah and GPC, and the authority’s tails in the past and present, new forces have emerged on the surface and outside the system of regional and international conflict, searching on foothold in Authority, the first of which is Tihamah military forces that rebelled against Emirati pasting attempts and fighting alone to survive.
These powers have escalated the situation on the ground in recent days specifically in Khawkhah, while its tribes fell apart to demand a stake in the new government, but It has no mention in legitimacy that its forces as GPC party led by Sultan Al-Barakani, hastened to polarized it, to consolidate its gains in the new government, similarly to the giants who are lost between the loyalty to UAE and Saudi Arabia, this Salafi force that UAE wanted to be controlled by Tariq appeared its fangs and demanded Hadi a stake in the new government.
forces are multiple in the east, the STC movement and its lost powers are present in the darkness of restoring the state, and Hadhramaut power demand
a private region, Al-Mahrah and Socotra too. All of them according to observers, are just time bombs, and have presented different visions for what is being circulating in Saudi negotiations.
The general scene in south may be somewhat quiet, but it could be the calm before the storm. All indications on the ground suggest that these areas which have not yet recovered from the scourge of 5 years war and siege are on the way to the biggest explosion. In the context of sharing “legitimacy”, that coalition took it as a reason of Yemen war and consumed it by gaining profits east and west, left local forces grappling with citizens who are surrounded by starvation after cutting salaries.